| Journal: |
مجلة البحوث التجارية
كلية التجارة - جامعة الزقازيق
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| Abstract: |
The study aims to estimate the effect of customs reform on exports in Egypt during the period (2008-2018) by using terminal handling time, customs release time and total customs work time as a measure of the independent variable (customs reform), while Egypt’s non-oil exports are used as an indicator for the dependent variable (exports). The study sample consists of a quarterly data series starting from 2008 until 2018. The co-integration method and the MIDAS regression model were used to estimate data with different frequencies. Also, the logarithmic formula is used to build the general model for the study along with conducting a unit root test to test the stationary of the study's variables.
The study revealed that the customs reform has a significant positive effect on the non-oil exports of Egypt during the stated period since, decreasing the terminal handling time, the customs release time and the total customs work time leads to an increase in the exports by (0.4655).
The study’s result is consistent with the findings of (DaSilva-Glasgow, 2020), (Elliott & Bonsignori, 2019), (Siu, 2019), , (Li, 2019), (Fernandes & Hillberry, 2017), , (Martincus & Graziano, 2013)and (Djankov et al., 2006)studies. The Egyptian government needs to carry out more reforms in various aspects simultaneously for example but not limited to, reducing the time and expense of releasing shipments by reducing physical inspections, improving pre-arrival processing of import paperwork, pre-release of trusted cargoes, and incorporating risk-management criteria into all customs operations to reach international standards will generate many government profits and positively affect its economy as one of the lower-middle-income countries.
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