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The relationship between government spending and GDP growth rate in the MENA countries: The Scully curve approach
Faculty
Commerce
Year:
2019
Type of Publication:
ZU Hosted
Pages:
Authors:
Amira Tohamy Mohamed Eltayb
Staff Zu Site
Abstract In Staff Site
Journal:
مجلة التنمية و السياسات الاقتصادية المعهد العربي للتخطيط بالكويت
Volume:
Keywords :
, relationship between government spending , , growth rate
Abstract:
To check the applicability of the Scully curve, a Random Effects Model was applied to MENA countries (1985-2015) using the Hausman test. Five out of the seven studied economic variables had a significant effect on the economic growth rate: Government Spending, its squared value, total domestic investment, the change in imports/ exports; whereas population and inflation rates had an insignificant effect. For Egypt (1985-2015) we relied on time series and a co-integration method was applied using the ARDL model. Results showed a significant inverted U-curve relationship between government spending and GDP. Their inverted U-shaped curve indicated that optimum Government Spending amounted to 25.95% and 36% of GDP for MENA countries and Egypt respectively.
Author Related Publications
Amira Tohamy Mohamed Eltayb, "العــوامـــل المـؤثــرة علـى الأمـن الغـذائي فـي مصر بمفهــومه الشــامـل", كلية الزراعة ، جامعة الزقازيق, 2014
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Amira Tohamy Mohamed Eltayb, "Impact of climate change on food production in the Middle East and North Africa region", كلية الاقتصاد و العلوم السياسية, 2017
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Amira Tohamy Mohamed Eltayb, "The relationship between economic growth and environment in the MENA Region: An environmental Kuznets curve", كلية التجارة و إدارة الأعمال، جامعة حلوان, 2017
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Amira Tohamy Mohamed Eltayb, "الآثار الاقتصادية المتوقعة لبناء سد النهضة الإثيوبي على محصول الأرز المصري", كلية الزراعة جامعة الزقازيق, 2015
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Amira Tohamy Mohamed Eltayb, "The role of technical progress in promoting economic growth in the MENA region", كلية التجارة ، جامعة عين شمس, 2018
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Department Related Publications
Dina Nabil Mohammed Ahmed Shahwani, "THE POTENTIAL ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF THE PROPOSED DEVELOPMENT CORRIDOR IN EGYPT: AN INTERREGIONAL CGE APPROACH", University of Sao Paulo Brazil, 2015
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Wafaa Mohamed Mohamed Salman, "محددات التلوث البيئى فى مصر بالتركيز على الوقود الأحفورى", المجلة العربية للأدارة, 2017
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Mohamed sultan ahmed aboalla, "الثقافة العربية الإسلامية والتنمية الاقتصادية", مجمع اللغة العربية, 2008
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Mahmoud Ibrahiem Aboelewn, "Towards A Multilateral Understanding of Developing Countries Debt Crises", مجلة مصر المعاصرة, 1987
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Iyad Mohammed Attia Attia, "Causality between petroleum consumption and economic growth: Empirical evidence from Egypt", المنظمة العربية للتنمية الادارية, 2013
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