الآثار الاقتصادية المتوقعة لبناء سد النهضة الإثيوبي على محصول الأرز المصري

Faculty Commerce Year: 2015
Type of Publication: ZU Hosted Pages:
Authors:
Journal: مجلة الزقازيق للبحوث الزراعية كلية الزراعة جامعة الزقازيق Volume:
Keywords : الآثار الاقتصادية المتوقعة لبناء , النهضة الإثيوبي    
Abstract:
Water is the issue of the most important strategic issues facing Egypt, where Egypt is characterized by limited water resources, and about 95% of their water resources come from outside (85% of which comes from Ethiopia), so The Ethiopian Renaissance Dam will affect heavily on Egypt's share of Nile water, and the deficit was expected in the flowing water of between 5 billion cubic meters and 10 billion cubic meters, and the study aims to measure and estimate the economic effects resulting from activation of the Renaissance Dam By estimating a range of economic indicators, namely: efficiency in the allocation of economic resources in rice production and economic welfare and returns achieved at the national level before activating the dam, and assess these indicators in the event of a deficit of 5 billion cubic meters and in the event of a deficit by 10 billion cubic meters, according to the expected range of alternatives, namely: the absence of government intervention, And the case of government interference equitable distribution of water on agricultural land along the canals and the case of government interference equitable distribution of water in some irrigations without the other , and according to three possibilities: the low production without consumption, and reduced production and consumption together, and rising farm price. To achieve these goals a partial equilibrium model has been used on monetary values OF rice, AND according to virtual water approach after conversion of monetary values to the virtual water values. It was found that the activation of the Renaissance Dam negative impact on economic efficiency indicators especially with the increase in the deficit in the water flowing from 5 billion to 10 billion cubic meters, and has a negative impact on the economic welfare indicators and on the returns achieved on the national level. The study recommends the need to provide good management of limited water resources which will become more limited and the scarcity after activating the dam Renaissance, and interest in improving traditional irrigation followed and developed systems and resort expansion in resource additional water desalination projects and the need to focus on the concept of virtual water so that it is production and export of low water requirements and import high water requirements of crops.
   
     
 
       

Author Related Publications

  • Amira Tohamy Mohamed Eltayb, "العــوامـــل المـؤثــرة علـى الأمـن الغـذائي فـي مصر بمفهــومه الشــامـل", كلية الزراعة ، جامعة الزقازيق, 2014 More
  • Amira Tohamy Mohamed Eltayb, "Foreign Direct Investment and Industry Value-Added in Egypt: Economic Complexity Threshold Analysis", كلية التجارة - جامعة المنصورة, 2024 More
  • Amira Tohamy Mohamed Eltayb, "أثر التحضر على تلوث الهواء في بعض الدول النامية: دراسة تطبيقية باستخدام نموذج STIRPAT", كلية التجارة – جامعة, 2025 More
  • Amira Tohamy Mohamed Eltayb, "هل يُمكن للشمول المالي أن يُسهم في تحقيق الحياد الكربوني في مصر؟ دور كفاءة الطاقة", كلية التجارة – جامعة المنوفية, 2025 More
  • Amira Tohamy Mohamed Eltayb, "The Effect of Energy Consumption and Economic Growth on Environmental Sustainability in Egypt: Financial Development and Globalization, Do They Have a Role?", كلية التجارة و إدارة الأعمال – جامعة حلوان, 2024 More

Department Related Publications

  • Mahmoud Ibrahiem Aboelewn, "التشابك المالي والنقدي وفعالية السياسة الاقتصادية في مصر", الجمعية المصرية للاقتصاد السياسي والإحصاء والتشريع, 1989 More
  • Mahmoud Ibrahiem Aboelewn, "توجهات الادارة الاقتصادية لمصر المستقبل", كلية التجارة جامعة الزقازيق, 2014 More
  • Iyad Mohammed Attia Attia, "Energy consumption and economic growth in Egypt: Evidence from ARDL bound testing approach", جامعة بنها, 2011 More
  • Iyad Mohammed Attia Attia, "The effect of Real Exchange rate on Unemployment: Evidence from Egypt", Arab Journal of Administration, 2018 More
  • Nahla Fathy Mohamed Amien Salem, "تأثير الصحة على النمو الاقتصادي في مصر خلال الفترة من 1969 – 201", مجلة العلمية ( التجارة والتمويل ) جامعة طنطا, 2019 More
Tweet