Developing a neural networks model for supporting contractors in bidding decision in Egypt

Faculty Engineering Year: 2009
Type of Publication: Theses Pages: 178
Authors:
BibID 11185546
Keywords : Neural Networks (Computer)    
Abstract:
contractor ssurvival is strongly dependant on being able to successfully deal with different bidding situations..يعتمد بقاء شركات المقاولات واستمرارها بالمنافسة بدرجة كبيرة على قدرتها على التعامل الناجح مع ظروف العطاءات المختلفة.فالمشاركة فى مشروعات غير مناسبة قد يودى الى خسارة فادحة او استهلاك للوقت والموارد التى يمكن ان توظف فى مشروعات اكثر ربحية.كذلك عدم المشاركة فى مشروعات جديدة قد ينتج عنة ضاع فرصة جيدة لتحقيق الربح او رفع فئة الشركة فى السوق او حتى اكتساب علاقة طويلة الامد مع عميل جديد.يهدف هذا البحث الى تصميم نموذج باستخدام الشبكات العصبية الصناعية كأحدى تطبيقات الذكاء الصناعى لدعم شركات المقاولات فى اتخاز قرار دخول العطاءات فى مصر.وذلك باستخدام برنامج يعرف باسم( Brain Maker Professional) ولتحقيق هدف البحث تم تحديد اهم العوامل التى توثر على قرار دخول العطاءات فى مصر لكى تؤخذ فى الاعتبار وتم تنفيذ الاتى:1-من مراجعة الابحاث السابقة بنفس المجال فى البلدان المختلفة تم تجميع وتعريف 50 عامل مؤثر على قرار دخول العطاءات .controlling relationships and the governing equations of thephenomena under considerations. The dimensional analysis is usedto correlate the different variables affecting the investigatedphenomena to the basic characteristic parameters. Also, the basichydraulic principles are applied to obtain universal theoreticalequations for the relative depth, the relative energy loss andthe relative length of jump.In the experimental work, the followingconducted for different flow conditions inunder a sluice gate:(1) the effect of the different crest shapes of under gate si 11.(2) the effect of different positions of a vertical sluice gateover a flat top sill.(3) the effect of different roughness shapes and types usingvarious roughness intensities (for each shape and type)(4) the combined ef f ect of us ing the under gate sill wi th thebest derived characteristics and the best concludeddownstream roughness (type, shape and intensity) .investigationscase of freeA statistical analysis for all the experimental results fromboth the hydraulic jump and the discharge coefficientcharacteristics points of view are carried out. The comparisonbe~een different tests and the discussion of the obtainedresults from the hydraulic jump point of view yielded thefollowing important cone 1 us ions: (a) The best crest shape is theflat top one; (b) The best position of the gate is to fix thegate at the begi nni ng of the crest from the upstream side; (c)The best roughness type is the staggered one of rectangular shapeith intens i ty e qu a 1 s 10%; (e) The percent increase in the lengthThe purpose of the present study is multi-folds. Mainly tospecify design criteria for designing the optimum length of theroughened floor for silled heading up hydraulic structures asregulators. To achieve the purposes of the current work,experimental investigations are conducted. Also, a theoreticalstudy is carried out for the purpose of determining thecontrolling relationships and the governing equations of thephenomena under considerations. The dimensional analysis is usedto correlate the different variables affecting the investigatedphenomena to the basic characteristic parameters. Also, the basichydraulic principles are applied to obtain universal theoreticalequations for the relative depth, the relative energy loss andthe relative length of jump.In the experimental work, the followingconducted for different flow conditions inunder a sluice gate:(1) the effect of the different crest shapes of under gate si 11.(2) the effect of different positions of a vertical sluice gateover a flat top sill.(3) the effect of different roughness shapes and types usingvarious roughness intensities (for each shape and type)(4) the combined ef f ect of us ing the under gate sill wi th thebest derived characteristics and the best concludeddownstream roughness (type, shape and intensity) .investigationscase of freeA statistical analysis for all the experimental results fromboth the hydraulic jump and the discharge coefficientcharacteristics points of view are carried out. The comparisonbe~een different tests and the discussion of the obtainedresults from the hydraulic jump point of view yielded thefollowing important cone 1 us ions: (a) The best crest shape is theflat top one; (b) The best position of the gate is to fix thegate at the begi nni ng of the crest from the upstream side; (c)The best roughness type is the staggered one of rectangular shapeith intens i ty e qu a 1 s 10%; (e) The percent increase in the length 
   
     
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