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A hybrid investigation combining numerical and experimental models with machine learning techniques to study the erosion rate and peak outflow for Earth-fill dam breaches
Faculty
Engineering
Year:
2026
Type of Publication:
ZU Hosted
Pages:
22
Authors:
Hazem Mohamed Gouda Eldeeb
Staff Zu Site
Abstract In Staff Site
Journal:
Infrastructures MDPI
Volume:
Infrastructures 2026, 11
Keywords :
, hybrid investigation combining numerical , experimental models
Abstract:
Understanding and accurately predicting the outflow hydrograph from embankment dam breaches is essential for managing the associated flood hazard and improving emergency preparedness. This work simulates the breaching process using a high-resolution 3D computational fluid dynamics (CFD) model, a critical natural hazard for earth-fill dams under overtopping conditions. The model was validated against the experimental data, showing high accuracy in predicting breach development and failure timing. A parametric analysis was performed to assess the influence of the initial breach geometry on erosion dynamics. The results indicated a high sensitivity, while increasing the breach width by 5% led to an average 11% increase in the erosion rate, and decreasing the depth by 5% caused an average 16.5% rise. To enhance predictive capabilities for this hazard, a multilayer neural network (MLNN) was trained on the CFD-generated dataset. The network utilized breach geometry and time as inputs to forecast the peak outflow and erosion rate, achieving excellent accuracy (RMSE = 0.019, R2 = 0.99). This integrated modeling strategy combines data-driven learning with physics-based simulation and demonstrates its effectiveness for laboratory-scale dam breach modeling. This approach is a step toward more efficient surrogate-based tools for flood risk analysis, though its extension to full-scale dams and varied material properties requires additional validation and scaling analyses beyond the scope of this work.
Author Related Publications
Hazem Mohamed Gouda Eldeeb, "Stability of Irrigation Canal Slopes Considering the Sea Level Rise and Dynamic Changes: Case Study El-Salam Canal, Egypt", Vol. 11, No. 5, 1046, 2019 Water, MDPI Publishing, 2019
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Hazem Mohamed Gouda Eldeeb, "Assessment of Surface and Groundwater Interaction Using Field Measurements: A Case Study of Dairut City, Assuit, Egypt", Journal of Engineering Science and Technology (JESTEC) School of Engineering, Taylor’s University, 2019
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Hazem Mohamed Gouda Eldeeb, "Seismic Performance of Concrete Gravity Dams", The Egyptian International Journal of Engineering Sciences & Technology (EIJEST), ISSN: 1687-1006, pp 1284- 1293, Vol. 16, No. 1, January, 2013
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Hazem Mohamed Gouda Eldeeb, "Dynamic Finite Element Analysis of Rockfill Dams", The Egyptian International Journal of Engineering Sciences & Technology (EIJEST), ISSN: 1687-1006, pp 1361- 1370, Vol. 16, No. 1, January, 2013
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Hazem Mohamed Gouda Eldeeb, "Effect of Fully and Partial Submerged Pile Cap on Local Scour Depth around Piles", International Journal of Engineering Research & Technology (IJERT), pp 696-701, Vol. 4, Issue 4, April, 2015
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Department Related Publications
Ibrahiem Abdelaziz Abdelmoteleb Ali, "دراسة كفاءة منظومة حاجز امواج رأسي محمل معلق علي خوازيق", كلية الهندسة- جامعة الزقازيق, 2014
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Abdelaziem Mohamed Abdelhamied Negm, "Sustainable waste management of medical waste in African developing countries: A narrative review", SAGE, 2021
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Ismaiel Abdelaty Mohamed Ismaiel, "Effects of groundwater abstraction and desalination brine deep injection on a coastal aquifer", Elsever, 2021
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Ismaiel Abdelaty Mohamed Ismaiel, "Investigating and Managing the Impact of Using Untreated Wastewater for Irrigation on the Groundwater Quality in Arid and Semi-Arid Regions", MPDI, 2021
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