| Journal: |
Journal of Flood Risk Management
WALY
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Volume: |
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| Abstract: |
Flooding is a natural calamity that causes widespread devastation, including severe infrastructure destruction, significant economic
consequences, and social disturbances around the world, particularly in the Sinai region. Wadi Ked is one of Sinai, Egypt's,
most vulnerable districts to flood hazards, and it is the location used for this study. This study aims to create a map of flood-prone
areas in Wadi Ked by combining Geographic Information System (GIS) technology and multi-criteria
decision-making
(MCDM)
techniques, utilizing the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) methodology. To achieve the study's goal, flood-related
factors such
as elevation, slope, distance to roads, distance from streams, annual rainfall, drainage density, topographic wetness index, land
use and land cover, normalized difference vegetation index, soil type, and curvature were weighted and overlaid. The results
show that 26.91% of the areas studied have a low sensitivity to flooding, whereas roughly 73.09% of the area is moderately to
very highly vulnerable to flooding. The study proposed a dam with a height of 30 m, a width of 0.416 km, and a lake capacity of
31.74 million cubic meters (MCM). The surface runoff volumes from 50-and
100-year
storms in sub-basins
1–5 are 23.07 MCM
and 29.66 MCM, respectively. Model validation was performed by comparing susceptibility maps generated from literature-based
and expert-based
AHP weights, revealing a 98% spatial agreement and a Kappa coefficient of 0.995, confirming the model's robustness.
This study offers value to decision-makers
and planners by utilizing morphometric properties and flash flood risk maps
to identify suitable locations for dams.
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