Statistical Evaluation of Beta-Binomial Probability Law for Removal in Progressive First-Failure Censoring and Its Applications to Three Cancer Cases

Faculty Technology and Development Year: 2025
Type of Publication: ZU Hosted Pages:
Authors:
Journal: Mathematics MDPI Volume:
Keywords : Statistical Evaluation , Beta-Binomial Probability , , Removal , Progressive    
Abstract:
Progressive first-failure censoring is a flexible and cost-efficient strategy that captures real-world testing scenarios where only the first failure is observed at each stage while randomly removing remaining units, making it ideal for biomedical and reliability studies. By applying the α -power transformation to the exponential baseline, the proposed model introduces an additional flexibility parameter that enriches the family of lifetime distributions, enabling it to better capture varying failure rates and diverse hazard rate behaviors commonly observed in biomedical data, thus extending the classical exponential model. This study develops a novel computational framework for analyzing an α -powered exponential model under beta-binomial random removals within the proposed censoring test. To address the inherent complexity of the likelihood function arising from simultaneous random removals and progressive censoring, we derive closed-form expressions for the likelihood, survival, and hazard functions and propose efficient estimation strategies based on both maximum likelihood and Bayesian inference. For the Bayesian approach, gamma and beta priors are adopted, and a tailored Metropolis–Hastings algorithm is implemented to approximate posterior distributions under symmetric and asymmetric loss functions. To evaluate the empirical performance of the proposed estimators, extensive Monte Carlo simulations are conducted, examining bias, mean squared error, and credible interval coverage under varying censoring levels and removal probabilities. Furthermore, the practical utility of the model is illustrated through three oncological datasets, including multiple myeloma, lung cancer, and breast cancer patients, demonstrating superior goodness of fit and predictive reliability compared to traditional models. The results show that the proposed lifespan model, under the beta-binomial probability law and within the examined censoring mechanism, offers a flexible and computationally tractable framework for reliability and biomedical survival analysis, providing new insights into censored data structures with random withdrawals.
   
     
 
       

Author Related Publications

  • Ahmed Shahat Ibrahim Sayyed Hassan, "Parameters Estimation for the Exponentiated Weibull Distribution Based on Generalized Progressive Hybrid Censoring Schemes", Science and Education Publishing, 2017 More
  • Ahmed Shahat Ibrahim Sayyed Hassan, "Maximum likelihood estimation of the generalised Gompertz distribution under progressively first-failure censored sampling", South African, 2018 More
  • Ahmed Shahat Ibrahim Sayyed Hassan, "Inferences for Weibull lifetime model under progressively first-failure censored data with binomial random removals", Published online in International Academic, 2020 More
  • Ahmed Shahat Ibrahim Sayyed Hassan, "Inferences for generalized Topp-Leone distribution under dual generalized order statistics with applications to Engineering and COVID-19 data", IOS Press, 2021 More
  • Ahmed Shahat Ibrahim Sayyed Hassan, "Inferences and Optimal Censoring Schemes for Progressively First-Failure Censored Nadarajah-Haghighi Distribution", Springer, 2020 More

Department Related Publications

  • Ahmed Abdelwahab Ahmed Eeid, "استخدام الشبكات العصبية الاحتمالية فى الدمج بين آليات الحوكمة والتنبؤ بالتعثر المالى فى سوق رأس المال المصرى (دراسة نظرية تطبيقية)", مجلة الدراسات والبحوث التجارية - كلية التجارة - جامعة بنها, 2015 More
  • Ahmed Shahat Ibrahim Sayyed Hassan, "Bayesian Life Analysis of Generalized Chen's Population Under Progressive Censoring", Open Journal Systems, 2022 More
  • Ahmed Shahat Ibrahim Sayyed Hassan, "Statistical Analysis of Improved Type-II Adaptive Progressive Hybrid Censored NH Data", Springer Nature, 2024 More
  • Ahmed Shahat Ibrahim Sayyed Hassan, "Analysis of the new complementary unit Weibull model from adaptive progressively Type-II hybrid", AIP Publishing, 2024 More
Tweet