التحليل القياسي لأهم العوامل المؤثرة على الميزان التجاري الزراعي المصري

Faculty Agriculture Year: 2025
Type of Publication: ZU Hosted Pages:
Authors:
Journal: مجلة الزقازيق للبحوث الزراعية كلية الزراعة، جامعة الزقازيق Volume:
Keywords : التحليل القياسي لأهم العوامل المؤثرة , الميزان    
Abstract:
Egypt took a set of decisions and measures in its foreign trade policy that directly affected the movement and direction of agricultural foreign trade. The Egyptian economy suffers from many problems, most notably the chronic budget deficit, as the agricultural trade balance has been exposed to many economic and political challenges, which have led to its weak contribution to supporting Egypt’s trade balance. The research aimed to study the development of the most important macroeconomic variables affecting the Egyptian agricultural trade balance deficit during The period (2001-2021), and an analysis of the impact of economic changes in total and agricultural exports on both gross domestic product and agricultural products. Statistical and analogical analysis of the relationship between the deficit in the agricultural trade balance and the most important factors affecting it. One of the most important results is that the agricultural deficit has increased by about $210 million at a significant annual rate of change of about 7.50%. It turns out that the added value of the agricultural production sector is increasing annually by a statistically significant amount of about 1.60 billion dollars, and that incoming agricultural investments are increasing annually by a statistically significant amount of about 0.28 billion dollars. There is a direct, non-significant relationship between the agricultural balance deficit and the added value of agricultural production, which indicates The development plans directed towards the agricultural sector over the past years are not economically feasible. It was found that there was a decrease in the accumulation of fixed agricultural capital by a statistically insignificant amount, and this indicates that the agricultural sector’s revenues are not directed to supporting the infrastructure of this sector. There is a significant inverse relationship between the agricultural trade deficit and the volume of loans provided to the agricultural sector. It has also been shown that increasing outward investments leads to an increase in the agricultural trade deficit. The study recommends preparing an integrated system of market mechanisms and legislative frameworks to stimulate and attract local and foreign investments.
   
     
 
       

Author Related Publications

  • Rokayah Hassan Ahmed Mohamed Gabr, "AN ECONOMIC STUDY FOR EXPORTS THE MOST IMPORTANT VEGETABLE CROPS IN EGYPT", مجلة البحوث الزراعية جامعة الزقازيق, 2015 More
  • Rokayah Hassan Ahmed Mohamed Gabr, "تأثير المشاكل الفنية والتسويقية على الإيراد الكلي لإنتاج بدارى التسمين في مركز بلبيس", كلية العلوم الزراعية البيئية، جامعة العريش, 2021 More
  • Rokayah Hassan Ahmed Mohamed Gabr, "دراسة اقتصادية لإنتاج فاكهة الكاكي في مصر", كلية العلوم الزراعية البيئية، جامعة العريش, 2023 More
  • Rokayah Hassan Ahmed Mohamed Gabr, "دراسة اقتصادية ايكونومترية للطلب على أهم الصادرات الزراعية المصرية", كلية الزراعة سابا باشا، جامعة الاسكندرية, 2022 More
  • Rokayah Hassan Ahmed Mohamed Gabr, "اقتصاديات محصول الزيتون بمحافظة شمال سيناء", كلية الزراعة، جامعة الاسكندرية, 2025 More

Department Related Publications

  • Hasnah Mohamed Ibrahiem Ali Foda, "العوامل المؤثرة على معارف وتطبيق الزراع للتوصيات الفنية الخاصة بتقليل الفاقد من محصول القمح بمحافظة الشرقية FACTORS AFFECTING FARMERS ' KNOWLEDGE AND APPLICATION OF TECHNICAL RECOMMENDATIONS ON REDUCING WASTAGE OF WHEAT CROP IN SHARKIA GOV", مجلة الزقازيق للبحوث الزراعية, 2014 More
  • Ibrahim Mohamed Shalaby Nouser, "كــــفـــاءة بــرامـــج تـدريـب المـرشـــديـن الـــزراعـييـــن فــي محــافــظـــة الشـــــــرقيــــة", كلية الزراعة ـ جامعة الزقازيق, 2013 More
  • Ibrahim Mohamed Shalaby Nouser, "معــرفة الـــزراع بالتوصيـــات الإرشادية الخاصة برعاية وتغذية الأبقــــار بمحافظــة الشــــرقيـة", كلية الزراعة ـ جامعة الزقازيق, 2013 More
  • Ibrahim Mohamed Shalaby Nouser, "دراسة تقييميه لبرامج تدريب المرشدين الزراعيين في مجال المكافحة المتكاملة بمحصول القطن في محافظة الشرقية", كلية الزراعة ـ جامعة الزقازيق, 2008 More
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