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Simulating Climate Change Impacts on Surface Water Resources Within a Lake Affected Region Using Regional Climate Projections
Faculty
Engineering
Year:
2018
Type of Publication:
ZU Hosted
Pages:
Authors:
Amr Ali Abdelaziz Ali Khedr
Staff Zu Site
Abstract In Staff Site
Journal:
Water resources research Agu
Volume:
Keywords :
Simulating Climate Change Impacts , Surface Water
Abstract:
This study aims to assess the impact of climate change on water resources in a large watershed within the Laurentian Great Lakes region using the fully integrated surface-subsurface model HydroGeoSphere. The hydrologic model is forced with an ensemble of high-resolution climate projections from the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model, which has been extended with the interactive lake model FLake to capture the effects of the Great Lakes on regional climate. The WRF ensemble includes two different moist physics configurations at resolutions of 90, 30, and 10 km, as well as four different initial and boundary conditions to control for natural climate variability. The integrated hydrologic model is run with a representative seasonal cycle, which effectively constrains natural variability while remaining computationally feasible for a large-scale model. The impacts of climate model resolution and bias correction are also investigated. The two WRF configurations show opposite responses in summer precipitation but similar trends for other seasons. Hydrologic simulations generally follow the climate forcing; however, due to subsurface memory, summer differences propagate across the entire seasonal cycle. This results in dry scenarios with reduced streamflow and water availability throughout the year, and wet
Author Related Publications
Amr Ali Abdelaziz Ali Khedr, "Evaluating Climate Change Impacts on Soil Moisture and Groundwater Resources Within a Lake-Affected Region", Agu, 2019
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Amr Ali Abdelaziz Ali Khedr, "Evaluating landscape influences on hydrologic behavior with a fully-integrated groundwater – surface water model", Science direct, 2021
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Amr Ali Abdelaziz Ali Khedr, "Estimation of groundwater contributions to Athabasca River Alberta, Canada", Science direct, 2023
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Amr Ali Abdelaziz Ali Khedr, "Economic valuation of subsurface water contributions to watershed ecosystem services using a fully integrated groundwater–surface-water model", Copernicus, 2025
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Amr Ali Abdelaziz Ali Khedr, "Quantifying the potential of using Soil Moisture Active Passive SMAP soil moisture variability to predict subsurface water dynamics", Copernicus, 2025
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Department Related Publications
Ahmed Abdelkhalek Mousstafa, "PROTECTING COASTS AGAINST PROBABLE SEA LEVEL RISE USING POROUS VERTICAL SEAWALL", Zagazig University - Faculty of Engineering, 2012
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Abdelaziem Mohamed Abdelhamied Negm, "Performances Evaluation of Surface Water Areas Extraction Techniques Using Landsat ETM+ Data: Case Study Aswan High Dam Lake (AHDL)", Elsevier, 2016
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Abdelaziem Mohamed Abdelhamied Negm, "Groundwater Quality Investigation Using Multivariate Analysis: Case Study: Western Nile Delta Aquifer, Egypt", Journal of Environmental Science and Development, 2016
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Abdelaziem Mohamed Abdelhamied Negm, "Bathymetry Determination from High Resolution Satellite Imagery using Ensemble learning algorithms in Shallow Lakes: Case Study El Burullus Lake", International Journal of Environmental Science and Development, Vol. 7, No. 4, Feb 2016, 2016
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Abdelaziem Mohamed Abdelhamied Negm, "Coupled Hydrodynamic-Water Quality Model for Pollution Control Scenarios in El-Burullus Lake (Nile Delta, Egypt", American Journal of Environmental Sciences, 2014
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