Global, regional, and national prevalence of kidney failure with replacement therapy and associated aetiologies, 1990-2023: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2023

Faculty Medicine Year: 2025
Type of Publication: ZU Hosted Pages:
Authors:
Journal: The Lancet Global Health Elsevier Volume:
Keywords : Global, regional, , national prevalence , kidney failure    
Abstract:
Abstract Background: Kidney failure with replacement therapy (KFRT) such as dialysis or transplantation represents a severe stage of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and poses a major global health burden. Although many CKD cases are diagnosed in the earlier stages, the greatest risk occurs when CKD progresses to KFRT. Despite its considerable financial and imposing impact on public health, there is a notable gap in international policies addressing CKD and KFRT. To bridge this gap and help policy makers and health systems effectively tackle the public health challenge of KFRT, a better understanding of the disease burden is essential. Thus, this analysis aims to provide a detailed overview of the global prevalence of KFRT and its associated aetiologies with estimates from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) from 1990 to 2023. Methods: This study defined KFRT as individuals on maintenance dialysis for 90 days or more or those who have undergone a kidney transplant, aligning with the Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) 2024 Clinical Practice Guideline for the Evaluation and Management of Chronic Kidney Disease. Renal registries served as the primary data sources. Prevalence and underlying aetiology estimates (type 1 diabetes, type 2 diabetes, hypertension, glomerulonephritis, and other causes) were generated with DisMod-MR 2.1, an epidemiological Bayesian mixed-effects meta-regression modelling tool. Both all-age and age-standardised estimates were reported and accompanied with 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs). Findings: In 2023, the number of global cases of KFRT was 4·59 million (95% UI 4·17-5·08) for both sexes and all ages, with an age-standardised prevalence of 50·7 (46·1-56·0) per 100 000 population. Over the past three decades, there has been a steady increase in KFRT prevalence globally. The highest prevalence was found in the GBD high-income regions, while the lowest was observed in sub-Saharan Africa. KFRT prevalence was generally higher in countries classified within the World Bank's high-income and upper-middle-income groups, while lower prevalence was more common in countries within the World Bank's low-income and lower-middle-income groups. Additionally, a pronounced sex disparity was identified, where male dialysis and transplant prevalence estimates were consistently higher than those for females in most countries. Type 2 diabetes and hypertension were among the leading associated aetiologies of KFRT globally. From 1990 to 2023, the all-age and age-standardised prevalence estimates across the ascribed aetiologies increased for KFRT, with the largest increases associated with type 2 diabetes and hypertension. Interpretation: KFRT affects approximately 5 million people globally, with high treatment and mortality costs. Our study unveiled considerable geographical variation in KFRT prevalence, which should be seen as indicators of health-care system opportunities. As the prevalence of the leading aetiologies of KFRT-type 2 diabetes and hypertension-continues to rise, there is a crucial need to prioritise the development and implementation of cost-effective strategies aimed at preventing CKD and its progression to KFRT, particularly in low-resource settings. These preventive efforts must happen in tandem with efforts to expand capacity for dialysis and transplant services
   
     
 
       

Author Related Publications

  • Aly Mohamed Abdelrahman Saad, "The prevalence of abnormal glucose regulation in patients with coronary artery disease across Europe The Euro Heart Survey on diabetes and the heart", Elsevier, 2004 More
  • Aly Mohamed Abdelrahman Saad, "Treatment and Health Status in Patients with Proven Coronary Artery Disease, but Ineligible for Revascularization. A Report from the Euro Heart Survey on Revascularization", Sage, 2006 More
  • Aly Mohamed Abdelrahman Saad, "Pharmacological treatment and perceived health status during 1-year follow up in patients diagnosed with coronary artery disease, but ineligible for revascularization: Results from the Euro Heart Survey on coronary revascularization", Sage, 2006 More
  • Aly Mohamed Abdelrahman Saad, "A 1-year follow up in patients diagnosed with coronary artery disease, but ineligible for revascularization. Results from The Euro Heart Survey on Coronary Revascularization", Oxford University Press, 2006 More
  • Aly Mohamed Abdelrahman Saad, "Atrial fibrillation management: a prospective survey in ESC Member Countries", Oxford University Press, 2005 More

Department Related Publications

  • Mohammed Ibrahim Amin Ibrahim Musa, "HbA1c And Insulin Resistance As Predictors For The Severity Of Coronary Artery Disease And Systolic Heart Failure In Non Diabetic Patients.", مجله كليه الطب البشري - جامغه الزقازيق, 2014 More
  • Muntasir Mustafa Ahmad, "قيمة الاجابة مضيق الشرايين التاجيين كمؤشر لضيق الشريان الكلوي", لايوجد, 1900 More
  • Muntasir Mustafa Ahmad, "قيمة سملة البطتنة والقيمة الوسطي للشرايين كعامل غير نافذ للتنبؤ بمرض الشريان التاجي", لايوجد, 1900 More
  • Muntasir Mustafa Ahmad, "المسافة بين نقطة التقاء وريقات الصمام الميترالي ومستواة الحلقي كمؤشر ", لايوجد, 1900 More
  • Muntasir Mustafa Ahmad, "قياس حركة ومسدحة الحلقة الشرفية الثلاثية كوسيلة لتنظيم وظيفة القلب ", لايوجد, 1900 More
Tweet