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Mitigating Water Shortage via Hydrological Modeling in Old and New Cultivated Lands West of the Nile in Egypt
Faculty
Engineering
Year:
2023
Type of Publication:
ZU Hosted
Pages:
Authors:
Elsayed Mokhtar Rammdan
Staff Zu Site
Abstract In Staff Site
Journal:
Water MDPI
Volume:
Keywords :
Mitigating Water Shortage , Hydrological Modeling , Old and
Abstract:
Middle East and North Africa (MENA) regions are increasingly concerned about water scarcity. Egypt, one of the arid MENA nations that relies primarily on Nile water, faces a water scarcity issue because of a mismatch between demand and supply. This study presents an integrated executive system for managing water resources in two regions of Egypt that have traits with many MENA regions facing water scarcities. Hydrological modeling is required for the modeling of water resources, and model calibration procedures should be implemented to compare the simulated values to the observed and measured values to minimize model errors. The Water Evaluation and Planning (WEAP) model was used in this study to simulate the network systems of Egypt’s Minia Governorate on the western bank of the Nile’s narrow valley and Nubariya in the West Nile Delta, the lower reaches of the Nile. Using field data and experience, as well as other inputs, geographic information system (GIS) software digitized streams using satellite-interpreted data. The models were run, calibrated, and validated. The main calibration objective was to reduce the discrepancy between the actual and modeled flows as much as possible. Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE), percentage BIAS (PBIAS), volumetric efficiency (VE), and agreement index (d) values were calculated for three calibration cases. For anticipating water shortages until 2050, two scenarios were examined: (1) climate change scenarios based on historical climatic data from 1960 to 1990 and from 1991 to 2020, which led to a prediction scenario (2021–2050) of increasing temperature in the areas leading to evapotranspiration (ET) increases of 5.42% and 5.13% and (2) canal lining scenarios, which found a flow saving in the areas, showing that we can overcome the anticipated water shortage progress if canal lengths are rehabilitated by 10% and 25% in Minia and Nubariya.
Author Related Publications
Elsayed Mokhtar Rammdan, "Developing Statistical Relationships Between the Water Quality and Hydraulic Parameters of Covered Irrigation Canals: A Case Study: Abu Kebier City, Sharkia Governorate, Egypt"", Faculity of Engineering, Zagazig Univ, 2016
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Elsayed Mokhtar Rammdan, "Integrated water resource management in Sharkia Governorate, East Nile Delta using numerical evaluation of water management strategies", Published by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of Faculty of Engineering, Alexandria University., 2019
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Elsayed Mokhtar Rammdan, "Environmental Impacts Of Great Ethiopian Renaissance Dam On The Egyptian Water Resources Management And Security", Faculity of Engineering, Zagazig Univ, 2013
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Elsayed Mokhtar Rammdan, "Water/Land Use Planning of Wadi El-Arish Watershed, Central Sinai, Egypt Using RS, GIS and WMS Techniques", International Publisher, 2014
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Elsayed Mokhtar Rammdan, "MORPHOMETRIC ANALYSIS AND EVALUATION OF THE FLOODING POTENTIALITIES OF WADI FIERRAN AREA, SOUTHERN SINAI, EGYPT", Fac. Sci., Zagazig Univ, 2015
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Department Related Publications
Walaa Younes Abdelattef Elnashar, "UPDATE OF IDF CURVES FOR RIYADH CITY, KSA", Zagazig University, Faculty of Engineering, 2013
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Walaa Younes Abdelattef Elnashar, "EVALUATION OF SURFACE IRRIGATION IMPROVEMENT PROJECT (IIP) IN OLD LAND (MASHTUL AREA), SHARKIA, EGYPT", Minia University Center for Arts and letters, Minia University, 2012
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Ayman Sabry Ibrahiem Kariem, "Mathematical study for analyzing caisson breakwater supported by two rows of piles", Ocean Engineering, 2015
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Abdelaziem Mohamed Abdelhamied Negm, "Life Cycle Assessment of Diesel Fuel and Solar Pumps in Operation Stage for Rice Cultivation in Tanta, Nile Delta, Egypt", Elsevier, 2016
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Abdelaziem Mohamed Abdelhamied Negm, "Numerical Simulation of Fertilizers Movement in Sand and Controlling Transport Process via Vertical Barriers", International Journal of Environmental Science and Development, Vol. 6, No. 8, August 2015, 2015
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