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External Validation of the Novel ABCD Scoring System for Prediction of In-Hospital Mortality among Severe and Critically Ill COVID-19 Patients: A Prospective Cohort Study
Faculty
Medicine
Year:
2022
Type of Publication:
ZU Hosted
Pages:
Authors:
Dina Mohamed Ali Mohamed
Staff Zu Site
Abstract In Staff Site
Journal:
Al-Azhar University Journal for Virus Research and Studies EKB
Volume:
Keywords :
External Validation , , Novel ABCD Scoring System
Abstract:
COVID-19 is a worldwide public health emergency. The availability of a brief and objective tool predicting the mortality among hospitalized COVID-19 patients might be helpful to direct limited medical resources to patients at higher risk of mortality. The aim of this work was to assess the novel ABCD scoring system as a tool for the prediction of in-hospital mortality among severe and critically ill COVID-19 patients admitted to the quarantine ICU. A prospective cohort study was conducted at Zagazig University Hospitals and comprised one hundred and seventy-nine COVID-19 patients admitted to the ICU. The ABCD score was calculated for all the patients. The primary outcome was the in-hospital mortality among the study participants. The median age of the participants was 63 (range: 18-95). About fifty-one percent (n= 92, 51.4%) were males. Of the total 179 patients, (n= 91, 50.8% survived, and n= 88, 49.2% died). A statistically significant association between the ABCD grading and the mortality outcome was detected (p-value = 0.029). By multiple logistic regression, the ABCD grading was a predictor of mortality in COVID-19 patients where the OR was 2.66 (95% CI: 1.284-5.517) (p-value = 0.008). The AUROC of the ABCD score was 0.608 (95% CI: 0.526-0.691), sensitivity was 61.4%, specificity was 50.5%, PPV was 54.5%, and NPP was 57.5%. To conclude: the ABCD grading system showed a discriminative ability to predict death in critically ill COVID-19 patients. The ABCD grading might be a quick approach for bedside assessment of severe COVID-19 patients, and it could also be used to rule out the probability of additional deterioration in patients in the non-critical zone.
Author Related Publications
Dina Mohamed Ali Mohamed, "Knowledge and Attitude of physicians to the 2019 Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic: A cross sectional survey from Egypt", EKB, 2020
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Dina Mohamed Ali Mohamed, "The incidence of moderate and severe COVID-19 at Zagazig University Hospitals: A single center experience in Egypt", EKB, 2022
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Dina Mohamed Ali Mohamed, "Role of Chest Computed Tomography versus Real Time Reverse Transcription Polymerase Chain Reaction for Diagnosis of COVID-19: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis", Hindawi, 2021
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Dina Mohamed Ali Mohamed, "Could seasonal influenza virus vaccine reduce the risk and severity of SARS-CoV-2 infection? The first Egyptian experience", EKB, 2022
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Dina Mohamed Ali Mohamed, "Human Leukocyte Antigen G 14 Base Pair Insertion/Deletion Polymorphism and COVID-19 Susceptibility and Severity in Egyptian Patients: A Case Control Study", EKB, 2023
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Department Related Publications
Taghreed Mohamed Abdallah Mahmud, "MELD Score as a Predictor of Treatment Response of ‘Difficult to Treat’ Chronic HCV Patients", Zagazig University. Faculty of Medicine. Endemic and Tropical Medicine Department http://mis.zu.edu.eg/ajied/home.aspx, 2019
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Halle Ismail Mouhammed, "Ghrelin: Can It Affect The Nutrition And Morbidity In Cirrhotic Patients? الجريلين: هل يستطيع أن يؤثر على التغذية والنسبة المرضية فى مرضى التشمع الكبدى؟", المجلة العلمية لكلية طب بنات الأزهر, 2007
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Ahmed Sakr Sherbini Mouhamed, "Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding Associated with Myocardial Injury in Egyptian Patients: Frequency and Risk Factors", ACT publishing group L td. hong kong, 2013
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Ibrahiem Mohamed Ibrahim Mohamed Hegazy, "مدى انتشار الالتهاب الكبدى الوبائى ( س ) بين مجموعة من الأشخاص العسكريين المصابين بالالتهاب الكبدى الحاد", لايوجد, 1900
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Ahmed Salah Mohamed Behery, "Persistent Elevation of Liver Enzymes during Pegylated Interferon Therapy of Chronic Hepatitis C Virus: Role of Occult Hepatitis B", بحث مشترك منشور بمجلة ابحاث امراض الجهاز الهضمي والكبد, 2012
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