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Computers, Materials & Continua
Tech Science Press
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Abstract: |
Price prediction of goods is a vital point of research due to how
common e-commerce platforms are. There are several efforts conducted to
forecast the price of items using classic machine learning algorithms and statistical models. These models can predict prices of various financial instruments,
e.g., gold, oil, cryptocurrencies, stocks, and second-hand items. Despite these
efforts, the literature has no model for predicting the prices of seasonal goods
(e.g., Christmas gifts). In this context, we framed the task of seasonal goods
price prediction as a regression problem. First, we utilized a real online trailer
dataset of Christmas gifts and then we proposed several machine learningbased models and one statistical-based model to predict the prices of these
seasonal products. Second, we utilized a real-life dataset of Christmas gifts
for the prediction task. Then, we proposed support vector regressor (SVR),
linear regression, random forest, and ridge models as machine learning models
for price prediction. Next, we proposed an autoregressive-integrated-movingaverage (ARIMA) model for the same purpose as a statistical-based model.
Finally, we evaluated the performance of the proposed models; the comparison shows that the best performing model was the random forest model,
followed by the ARIMA model.
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