Modified aquila optimizer for forecasting oil production

Faculty Science Year: 2022
Type of Publication: ZU Hosted Pages:
Authors:
Journal: GEO-SPATIAL INFORMATION SCIENCE Taylor & Francis Group Volume:
Keywords : Modified aquila optimizer , forecasting oil production    
Abstract:
Oil production estimation plays a critical role in economic plans for local governments and organizations. Therefore, many studies applied different Artificial Intelligence (AI) based methods to estimate oil production in different countries. The Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) is a well-known model that has been successfully employed in various applications, including time-series forecasting. However, the ANFIS model faces critical shortcomings in its parameters during the configuration process. From this point, this paper works to solve the drawbacks of the ANFIS by optimizing ANFIS parameters using a modified Aquila Optimizer (AO) with the Opposition-Based Learning (OBL) technique. The main idea of the developed model, AOOBL-ANFIS, is to enhance the search process of the AO and use the AOOBL to boost the performance of the ANFIS. The proposed model is evaluated using real-world oil production datasets collected from different oilfields using several performance metrics, including Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), coefficient of determination (R2), Standard Deviation (Std), and computational time. Moreover, the AOOBL-ANFIS model is compared to several modified ANFIS models include Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO)-ANFIS, Grey Wolf Optimizer (GWO)-ANFIS, Sine Cosine Algorithm (SCA)-ANFIS, Slime Mold Algorithm (SMA)-ANFIS, and Genetic Algorithm (GA)-ANFIS, respectively. Additionally, it is compared to well-known time series forecasting methods, namely, Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA), and Neural Network (NN). The outcomes verified the high performance of the AOOBL-ANFIS, which outperformed the classic ANFIS model and the compared models.
   
     
 
       

Author Related Publications

  • Mohamed El Sayed Ahmed Muhamed, "A Grunwald–Letnikov based Manta ray foraging optimizer for global optimization and image segmentation", Elsevier, 2020 More
  • Mohamed El Sayed Ahmed Muhamed, "A novel hybrid gradient-based optimizer and grey wolf optimizer feature selection method for human activity recognition using smartphone sensors", MDPI, 2021 More
  • Mohamed El Sayed Ahmed Muhamed, "Efficient schemes for playout latency reduction in P2P-VOD systems", Springer, 2018 More
  • Mohamed El Sayed Ahmed Muhamed, "a novel algorithm for source localization based on nonnegative matrix factroization using \alpha 'beta divergence in chochleagram", WSEAS, 2013 More
  • Mohamed El Sayed Ahmed Muhamed, "Open cluster membership probability based on K-means clustering algorithm", Springer, 2016 More

Department Related Publications

  • Yasser AbdelAziz Amer Tolba, "Nonlinear vibration and of the Duffing oscillator to parametric excitation with time delay feedback", امريكا, 2016 More
  • Roshdy Mohamed Farouk AbdulHameed, "Segmentation of microarray images using artificial neural network and Gabor wavelet", Portgal, 2016 More
  • Heba Ibrahim Mustafa, "On rough approximations via ideal", Elsevier, 2013 More
  • Heba Ibrahim Mustafa, "Soft Generalized Closed Sets with Respect to an Ideal in Soft Topological Spaces", Natural science publishing USA, 2014 More
  • Heba Ibrahim Mustafa, "Hybridizing Rough Sets and Double Sets (An approach for increasing decision accuracy)", Acta Zhengzhou University Overseas, 2013 More
Tweet