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Machine learning approach for hemorrhagic transformation prediction: Capturing predictors interaction
Faculty
Medicine
Year:
2022
Type of Publication:
ZU Hosted
Pages:
Authors:
Nahed Shehta AbdelBaki
Staff Zu Site
Abstract In Staff Site
Journal:
Frontiers in neurology fronteirs
Volume:
Keywords :
Machine learning approach , hemorrhagic transformation prediction:
Abstract:
Patients with ischemic stroke frequently develop hemorrhagic transformation (HT), which could potentially worsen the prognosis. The objectives of the current study were to determine the incidence and predictors of HT, to evaluate predictor interaction, and to identify the optimal predicting models. Methods: A prospective study included 360 patients with ischemic stroke, of whom 354 successfully continued the study. Patients were subjected to thorough general and neurological examination and T2 diusion-weighted MRI, at admission and 1 week later to determine the incidence of HT. HT predictors were selected by a filter-based minimum redundancy maximum relevance (mRMR) algorithm independent of model performance. Severalmachine learning algorithms includingmultivariable logistic regression classifier (LRC), support vector classifier (SVC), random forest classifier (RFC), gradient boosting classifier (GBC), and multilayer perceptron classifier (MLPC) were optimized for HT prediction in a randomly selected half of the sample (training set) and tested in the other half of the sample (testing set). The model predictive performance was evaluated using receiver operator characteristic (ROC) and visualized by observing case distribution relative to the models’ predicted three-dimensional (3D) hypothesis spaces within the testing dataset true feature space. The interaction between predictors was investigated using generalized additive modeling (GAM). Results: The incidence of HT in patients with ischemic stroke was 19.8%. Infarction size, cerebral microbleeds (CMB), and the National Institute of Health stroke scale (NIHSS) were identified as the best HT predictors. RFC (AUC: 0.91, 95% CI: 0.85–0.95) and GBC (AUC: 0.91, 95% CI: 0.86– 0.95) demonstrated significantly superior performance compared to LRC (AUC: 0.85, 95% CI: 0.79–0.91) and MLPC (AUC: 0.85, 95% CI: 0.78–0.92). SVC (AUC: 0.90, 95% CI: 0.85–0.94) outperformed LRC and MLPC but did not reach statistical significance. LRC and MLPC did not show significant differences. The best models’ 3D hypothesis spaces demonstrated non-linear decision boundaries suggesting an interaction between predictor variables. GAM analysis demonstrated a linear and non-linear significant interaction between NIHSS and CMB and between NIHSS and infarction size, respectively
Author Related Publications
Nahed Shehta AbdelBaki, "Frequency and determinants of subclinical neuropathy in type 1 diabetes mellitus", Egypt J Neurol Psychiat Neurosur,, 2016
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Nahed Shehta AbdelBaki, "PHYSICAL EXERCISE INDUCES IRISIN LEVELS ASSOCIATED WITH IMPROVED COGNITIVE FUNCTIONS AND GLUCOSE TOLERANCE IN OBESE AND NORMAL WEIGHT EGYPTIAN SUBJECTS: A 3-MONTH INTERVENTIONAL STUDY", International journal of advanced research, 2017
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Nahed Shehta AbdelBaki, "Assessment of serum uric acid levels in Relapsing- Remitting multiple sclerosis: a case –control study", The Egyptian J. of Neurology, Psychiatry and Neurosurg, 2018
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Nahed Shehta AbdelBaki, "Role of Repetitive Nerve Stimulation, Serum Creatine Phosphokinase and Lactate Dehydrogenase in Early Prediction of Respiratory Failure in Acute Organophosphorus Poisoning", Ain Shams J. of Forensic medicine & clinical toxicology, 2015
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Nahed Shehta AbdelBaki, "Baseline Renal Dysfunction In Acute Ischemic Stroke Patients: Prevalence And Impact On Early Mortality.", International Journal of Advanced Research, 2017
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Department Related Publications
Rasha Mohamed Fahmy Abdelhaliem, "Renal Dysfunction and White Matter Hyperintensity in Patients with Ischemic Stroke", [Egypt J Neurol Psychiat Neurosurg. 2014; 51(1): 105-111, 2014
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Rasha Mohamed Fahmy Abdelhaliem, "Frequency and determinants of subclinical neuropathy in type 1 Diabetes mellitus", Egypt J Neurol Psychiat Neurosurg., 2016
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Hanan Mohamed Sabry Nasr, "Interleukin-6 and hs-CRP as Early Diagnostic Biomarkers for Obesity-Related Peripheral Polyneuropathy in Non-Diabetic Patients", THE EGYPTIAN JOURNAL OF IMMUNOLOGY, 2018
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Mona Mohammed Amer Mohamd, "Endothelial-Specific Molecule 1 (Endocan) As A Marker of Vascular Endothelial Regulation of Obesity-Associated Peripheral Polyneuropathy in The Non-Diabetic Obese Patients.", المجلة العلمية لجامعة القاهرة, 2019
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Halle Ahmed Fathy Hafez, "Interleukin-6 and hs CRP as early diagnostic biomarkers for obesity related peripheral polyneuropathy in non-diabetic patients.", THE EGYPTIAN JOURNAL OF IMMUNOLOGY Vol. 25 (2), 2018, 2018
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