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Bayesian Estimation of Diagnostic Accuracy of Three Diagnostic Tests for Bovine Tuberculosis in Egyptian Dairy Cattle Using Latent Class Models
Faculty
Veterinary Medicine
Year:
2021
Type of Publication:
ZU Hosted
Pages:
Authors:
Heba Ahmed Abdallah Abdelmgeed
Staff Zu Site
Abstract In Staff Site
Journal:
Veterinary Sciences MDPI
Volume:
Keywords :
Bayesian Estimation , Diagnostic Accuracy , Three Diagnostic
Abstract:
The aim of the present study was to calculate the sensitivity (Se) and specificity (Sp) of the single cervical tuberculin test (SCT), rapid lateral flow test (RLFT), and real-time polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) for the diagnosis of Mycobacterium bovis (M. bovis) infection in Egyptian dairy cattle herds within a Bayesian framework. The true M. bovis infection within-herd prevalence was assessed as a secondary objective. Data on the test results of SCT, RLFT, and RT-PCR for the detection of M. bovis were available from 245 cows in eleven herds in six major governorates in Egypt. A Bayesian latent class model was built for the estimation of the characteristics of the three tests. Our findings showed that Se of SCT (0.93 (95% Posterior credible interval (PCI): 0.89–0.93)) was higher than that of RT-PCR (0.83 (95% PCI: 0.28–0.93)) but was similar to the Se of RLFT (0.93 (95% PCI: 0.31–0.99)). On the contrary, SCT showed the lowest Sp estimate (0.60 (95% PCI: 0.59–0.65)), whereas Sp estimates of RT-PCR (0.99 (95% PCI: 0.95–1.00)) and RLFT (0.99 (95% PCI: 0.95–1.00)) were comparable. The true prevalence of M. bovis ranged between 0.07 and 0.71. In conclusion, overall, RT-PCR and RLFT registered superior performance to SCT, making them good candidates for routine use in the Egyptian bovine tuberculosis control program
Author Related Publications
Heba Ahmed Abdallah Abdelmgeed, "Occurrence, genotyping, shiga toxin genes and associated risk factors of E. coli isolated from dairy farms, handlers and milk consumers", Elsevier Ltd., 2016
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Heba Ahmed Abdallah Abdelmgeed, "A comparative evaluation of PCR- based methods for species- specific determination of African animal trypanosomes in Ugandan cattle", BioMed Central Ltd., 2013
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Heba Ahmed Abdallah Abdelmgeed, "Seafood a potential source of some zoonotic bacteria in Zagazig, Egypt, with the molecular detection of Listeria monocytogenes virulence genes", Istituto G. Caporale 2013, 2013
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Heba Ahmed Abdallah Abdelmgeed, "Cleavage site stability of Egyptian highly pathogenic avian influenza viruses in backyard chickens during 2009-2011", Elsevier B.V, 2014
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Heba Ahmed Abdallah Abdelmgeed, "The best practice for preparation of samples from FTA®cards for diagnosis of blood borne infections using African trypanosomes as a model system", BioMed Central Ltd., 2011
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Ahmed Mohamed Abdelaal Mansur, "Clinical, laboratory and ultrasonographic investigations of left abomasal displacement in Holstein- Friesian cows", cairo, 2014
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