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Efficient artificial intelligence forecasting models for COVID-19 outbreak in Russia and Brazil
Faculty
Science
Year:
2021
Type of Publication:
ZU Hosted
Pages:
Authors:
Mohamed El Sayed Ahmed Muhamed
Staff Zu Site
Abstract In Staff Site
Journal:
Process Safety and Environmental Protection Elsevier
Volume:
Keywords :
Efficient artificial intelligence forecasting models , COVID-19
Abstract:
COVID-19 is a new member of the Coronaviridae family that has serious effects on respiratory, gastrointestinal, and neurological systems. COVID-19 spreads quickly worldwide and affects more than 41.5 million persons (till 23 October 2020). It has a high hazard to the safety and health of people all over the world. COVID-19 has been declared as a global pandemic by the World Health Organization (WHO). Therefore, strict special policies and plans should be made to face this pandemic. Forecasting COVID-19 cases in hotspot regions is a critical issue, as it helps the policymakers to develop their future plans. In this paper, we propose a new short term forecasting model using an enhanced version of the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS). An improved marine predators algorithm (MPA), called chaotic MPA (CMPA), is applied to enhance the ANFIS and to avoid its shortcomings. More so, we compared the proposed CMPA with three artificial intelligence-based models include the original ANFIS, and two modified versions of ANFIS model using both of the original marine predators algorithm (MPA) and particle swarm optimization (PSO). The forecasting accuracy of the models was compared using different statistical assessment criteria. CMPA significantly outperformed all other investigated models.
Author Related Publications
Mohamed El Sayed Ahmed Muhamed, "A Grunwald–Letnikov based Manta ray foraging optimizer for global optimization and image segmentation", Elsevier, 2020
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Mohamed El Sayed Ahmed Muhamed, "Efficient schemes for playout latency reduction in P2P-VOD systems", Springer, 2018
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Mohamed El Sayed Ahmed Muhamed, "a novel algorithm for source localization based on nonnegative matrix factroization using \alpha 'beta divergence in chochleagram", WSEAS, 2013
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Mohamed El Sayed Ahmed Muhamed, "Open cluster membership probability based on K-means clustering algorithm", Springer, 2016
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