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Prediction of Solar Activity Using Hybrid Artificial Bee Colony With Neighborhood Rough Sets
Faculty
Science
Year:
2020
Type of Publication:
ZU Hosted
Pages:
Authors:
Mohamed El Sayed Ahmed Muhamed
Staff Zu Site
Abstract In Staff Site
Journal:
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON COMPUTATIONAL SOCIAL SYSTEMS IEEE
Volume:
Keywords :
Prediction , Solar Activity Using Hybrid Artificial
Abstract:
This article introduces a new hybrid technique for predicting solar activity. The proposed hybrid technique consists of four phases. The first phase is feature selection, where the most relevant features (variables) are selected based on an artificial bee colony using a neighborhood rough set as the fitness function. The second phase employs the training support vector regression (SVR) using a part of the solar activity data set based on the selected features. Sequential minimal optimization is carried out to determine the optimal parameters of SVR. The third phase tests the regression model based on the second part of the data set. The fourth phase is the process of predicting solar activity. According to the prediction system, the maximum amplitude of cycle 25 is 80 ± 12, and it will occur in 2026. The solution quality is assessed by using three indices called average absolute percent relative error (AAPRE), root-mean-square error (RMSE), and coefficient of determination. These indices prove the high quality of the forecast sunspot number value and the actual ones. In addition, it can be concluded that the proposed system is significantly improved the predicting solar activity performance at acceptable assessment indices.
Author Related Publications
Mohamed El Sayed Ahmed Muhamed, "A Grunwald–Letnikov based Manta ray foraging optimizer for global optimization and image segmentation", Elsevier, 2020
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Mohamed El Sayed Ahmed Muhamed, "A novel hybrid gradient-based optimizer and grey wolf optimizer feature selection method for human activity recognition using smartphone sensors", MDPI, 2021
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Mohamed El Sayed Ahmed Muhamed, "Efficient schemes for playout latency reduction in P2P-VOD systems", Springer, 2018
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Mohamed El Sayed Ahmed Muhamed, "a novel algorithm for source localization based on nonnegative matrix factroization using \alpha 'beta divergence in chochleagram", WSEAS, 2013
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Mohamed El Sayed Ahmed Muhamed, "Open cluster membership probability based on K-means clustering algorithm", Springer, 2016
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Department Related Publications
Hany Samih Bayoumi Ibrahim, "Passive and active controllers for suppressing the torsional vibration of multiple-degree-of-freedom system", Sage, 2014
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Ahmed Mohamed Khedr Souliman, "SEP-CS: Effective Routing Protocol for Heterogeneous Wireless Sensor Networks", Ad Hoc & Sensor Wireless Networks, 2012
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Ahmed Mohamed Khedr Souliman, "Minimum connected cover of a query region in heterogeneous wireless sensor networks", Information Sciences, 2013
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Ahmed Mohamed Khedr Souliman, "IBLEACH: intra-balanced LEACH protocol for wireless sensor networks", Wireless Netw, 2014
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Ahmed Mohamed Khedr Souliman, "AGENTS FOR INTEGRATING DISTRIBUTED DATA FOR FUNCTION COMPUTATIONS", Computing and Informatics,, 2012
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