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A Novel Single Valued Neutrosophic Hesitant Fuzzy Time Series Model: Applications in Indonesian and Argentinian Stock Index Forecasting
Faculty
Computer Science
Year:
2020
Type of Publication:
ZU Hosted
Pages:
Authors:
mahmoud mohamed ismail ali
Staff Zu Site
Abstract In Staff Site
Journal:
IEEE ACCESS IEEE
Volume:
Keywords :
, Novel Single Valued Neutrosophic Hesitant Fuzzy
Abstract:
This paper proposed a novel first-order single-valued neutrosophic hesitant fuzzy time series (SVNHFTS) forecasting model. Our aim is to improve the previously proposed neutrosophic time series (NTS) model by incorporating the degree of the hesitancy using single-valued neutrosophic hesitant fuzzy set (SVNHFS) model instead of single-valued neutrosophic set (SVNS). Our paper's novelty is that we incorporate an algorithm that automatically converts the crisp dataset into the neutrosophic set that eliminates the need for experts' input or opinions in determining the membership in each of the partitioned neutrosophic set. We also incorporate Markov Chain algorithm in the de-neutrosophication process to include the weightage of the repeating neutrosophic logical relationships (NLRs). Our paper's significant contribution is to add to the existing body of knowledge related to fuzzy time series (FTS) by developing a new FTS model based on SVNHFS, one of the improved version of fuzzy sets, since this area of research is still relatively underdeveloped. To determine our proposed model's capability, we apply our proposed SVNHFTS model to three real datasets while also comparing the result to the other FTS models based on improved versions of fuzzy sets. Our datasets include benchmark enrollment data of University of Alabama, IDX Composite (Indonesian composite stock index), and MERVAL index (Argentinian composite stock index). The result shows that our proposed SVNHFTS model outperforms most of the other FTS models in terms of AFE and RMSE, especially the previously proposed NTS model.
Author Related Publications
mahmoud mohamed ismail ali, "A parallel branch and bound algorithm for solving large scale integer programming problems", Natural Sciences Publiching Cor, 2014
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mahmoud mohamed ismail ali, "AN EFFICIENT Hybrid Swarm Intelligence Technique for Solving Integer Programming", International Journal of Computers & Technology, 2013
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Department Related Publications
Mohammed Abdel Basset Metwally Attia, "Discrete greedy flower pollination algorithm for spherical traveling salesman problem", Springer, 2019
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Saber Mohamed, "Training and Testing a Self-Adaptive Multi-Operator Evolutionary Algorithm for Constrained Optimization", ELSEVEIR, 2015
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