Improving multilayer perceptron neural network using chaotic grasshopper optimization algorithm to forecast iron ore price volatility

Faculty Science Year: 2020
Type of Publication: ZU Hosted Pages:
Authors:
Journal: Resources Policy Elsevier Volume:
Keywords : Improving multilayer perceptron neural network using    
Abstract:
Developing an accurate forecasting model for the volatility of iron ore price plays a vital role in future investments and decisions for mining projects and related companies. Viewed from this perspective, this paper proposes a novel model for accurately forecasting monthly iron ore price volatilities. This model integrates chaotic behavior into a recent meta-heuristic method grasshopper optimization algorithm (GOA) to form a new GOA algorithm called chaotic grasshopper optimization algorithm (CGOA), which is used as a trainer to learn the multilayer perceptron neural network (NN). The results of the proposed model (CGOA–NN) are compared to other models, including the conventional grasshopper optimization algorithm for NN (GOA–NN), Particle swarm optimization for NN (PSO–NN), Genetic Algorithm for NN (GA–NN), and classic NN. Empirical results demonstrate the superiority of the hybrid CGOA–NN model over other models. Moreover, the proposed CGOA–NN model demonstrates an improvement in the forecasting accuracy obtained from classic NN, GA–NN, PSO–NN, and GOA–NN models by 60.82%, 32.18%, 16.49%, and 38.71% decrease in mean square error, respectively.
   
     
 
       

Author Related Publications

  • Mohamed El Sayed Ahmed Muhamed, "A Grunwald–Letnikov based Manta ray foraging optimizer for global optimization and image segmentation", Elsevier, 2020 More
  • Mohamed El Sayed Ahmed Muhamed, "A novel hybrid gradient-based optimizer and grey wolf optimizer feature selection method for human activity recognition using smartphone sensors", MDPI, 2021 More
  • Mohamed El Sayed Ahmed Muhamed, "Efficient schemes for playout latency reduction in P2P-VOD systems", Springer, 2018 More
  • Mohamed El Sayed Ahmed Muhamed, "a novel algorithm for source localization based on nonnegative matrix factroization using \alpha 'beta divergence in chochleagram", WSEAS, 2013 More
  • Mohamed El Sayed Ahmed Muhamed, "Open cluster membership probability based on K-means clustering algorithm", Springer, 2016 More

Department Related Publications

  • Wael Mohamed Khadr Salim, "a novel algorithm for source localization based on nonnegative matrix factroization using \alpha 'beta divergence in chochleagram", WSEAS, 2013 More
  • Mohamed El Sayed Ahmed Muhamed, "a novel algorithm for source localization based on nonnegative matrix factroization using \alpha 'beta divergence in chochleagram", WSEAS, 2013 More
  • Rodyna Ahmed Mahmoud, "Some methods for generating proximities by relations", .ijser, 2013 More
  • Heba Ibrahim Mustafa, "Soft proximity", World's Pioneer Iceland, 2013 More
  • Heba Ibrahim Mustafa, "On Interval-Valued Supra-Fuzzy Syntopogenous Structure", Hindawi Publishing Corporation, 2012 More
Tweet