The Potential Impact of the Floating Exchange Rate Policy on the Egyptian Trade Balance, Agricultural Trade and Food Trade

Faculty Technology and Development Year: 2018
Type of Publication: ZU Hosted Pages: 1169-1182
Authors:
Journal: ﺍﻟﻤﺠﻠﺔ ﺍﻟﻤﺼﺭﻴﺔ ﻟﻼﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﺍﻟﺯﺭﺍﻋﻲ الجمعية المصرية لللاقتصاد الزراعي Volume: – ﺍﻟﻤﺠﻠﺩ ﺍﻟﺜﺎﻤﻥ ﻭﺍﻟﻌﺸﺭﻭﻥ
Keywords : , Potential Impact , , Floating Exchange Rate Policy    
Abstract:
The Potential Impact of the Floating Exchange Rate Policy on the Egyptian Trade Balance, Agricultural Trade and Food Trade Dr. Ahmed Qadry M. Bahloul  Faculty of Technology and Development, University of Zagazig, Zagazig, Egypt. and, The University of Umm Al-Qura, the Holly Mecca, KSA. Abstract Egypt has a long history of problems regarding its exchange rate with US Dollar. Egypt decided to float its currency against the foreign currencies including the US Dollar on 3/11/2016. There is a great controversy among the economists concerning the policy impacts of the new policy. The research question was what is the expected impact of floating the Egyptian pound exchange rate on the trade balance, agricultural trade balance, and food trade balance? The research paper aims at studying the possible impact of exchange rate policy and the of total trade balance, agricultural trade balance, and food trade balance. Two econometric methods used for the estimation of export and import elasticities, the Feasible generalized least squares (FGLS) estimator and the Vector Error Autoregressive Models (VAR). The estimated Marshall-Lerner condition ranged from 1.72 to 1.92 for the Egyptian total trade, while ranged from 1.44 to 1.46 for the agricultural trade, while it is ranged from 0.64 to 2.09 in the case of food trade. The results indicated the validity of the Marshall- Lerner condition (MLC) for the Egyptian total trade, agricultural trade, and food trade. The new Egyptian floating exchange rate policy associated with institutional reforms will probably has positive impacts on the Egyptian trade, the agricultural trade, and the food trade. JEL classifications: F4, Q17, Q18
   
     
 
       

Author Related Publications

  • Ahmed Qadry Mokhtar Mohammed Bahloul, "ورقة سياسات التدريب لخطة التنمية العاشرة للمملكة العربية السعودية، (2015-2019)", وزارة الاقتصاد والتخطيط السعودية, 2013 More
  • Ahmed Qadry Mokhtar Mohammed Bahloul, "أثار علاقات دول حوض نهر النيل علي الأمن المائي المصري", الجمعية المصرية للاقتصاد الزراعي, 2010 More
  • Ahmed Qadry Mokhtar Mohammed Bahloul, "اقتصاديات الاستثمار الزراعي بجمهورية مصر العربية في ظل الأزمة العالمية والاستثمار العربي البيني", ملتقي الاستثمار العربي ،دبي, 2009 More
  • Ahmed Qadry Mokhtar Mohammed Bahloul, "تقويم برامج سياسة التشغيل لتخفيف البطالة: دراسة حالة مصر", معهد الكفاية الانتاجية بجامعة الزقازيق, 2008 More
  • Ahmed Qadry Mokhtar Mohammed Bahloul, "The Egyptian Trade Policy Strategy of Development and The Global Trading System in The WTO Era", Egyptian Association Of Agricultural Economics, 2012 More

Department Related Publications

  • Ahmed Qadry Mokhtar Mohammed Bahloul, "ورقة سياسات التدريب لخطة التنمية العاشرة للمملكة العربية السعودية، (2015-2019)", وزارة الاقتصاد والتخطيط السعودية, 2013 More
  • Ahmed Qadry Mokhtar Mohammed Bahloul, "أثار علاقات دول حوض نهر النيل علي الأمن المائي المصري", الجمعية المصرية للاقتصاد الزراعي, 2010 More
  • Ahmed Qadry Mokhtar Mohammed Bahloul, "اقتصاديات الاستثمار الزراعي بجمهورية مصر العربية في ظل الأزمة العالمية والاستثمار العربي البيني", ملتقي الاستثمار العربي ،دبي, 2009 More
  • Ahmed Qadry Mokhtar Mohammed Bahloul, "تقويم برامج سياسة التشغيل لتخفيف البطالة: دراسة حالة مصر", معهد الكفاية الانتاجية بجامعة الزقازيق, 2008 More
  • Ahmed Qadry Mokhtar Mohammed Bahloul, "The Egyptian Trade Policy Strategy of Development and The Global Trading System in The WTO Era", Egyptian Association Of Agricultural Economics, 2012 More
Tweet