مؤشرات التنافسية ومحددات الطلب الخارجي على البرتقال المصري

Faculty Technology and Development Year: 2020
Type of Publication: ZU Hosted Pages: 101 - 130
Authors:
Journal: الانتاجية والتنمية كلية التكنولوجيا والتنمية Volume: 25
Keywords : مؤشرات التنافسية ومحددات الطلب الخارجي , البرتقال    
Abstract:
The research problem was the decrease and fluctuation of the quantity exported of oranges to the most important import markets for Egyptian oranges in recent years. The research aimed to identify the reasons leading to the occurrence of this problem by studying the most important indicators of competitiveness and factors affecting the external demand of Egyptian oranges in the most important external markets. That the causes of this problem can be identified and appropriate solutions resolved. As for the prices of exporting Egyptian oranges, it has taken a growing general trend during the period (2001-2017), and its growth rate has reached 25.98 dollars per year. The farm price and the costs of producing tons of oranges, increased general trend during the period (2001-2017), and the rate of its increase reached about 43.11 pounds per ton, 1202 pounds per acre. As for the market share of the most important import market for oranges, some indicators were extracted during the period (2013 – 2017), which is the takeover of the Egyptian orange ranked first in the market of Russia, Britain, Saudi Arabia in relation to competitors. The share was really fluctuated during the period of the study. The market hare in the most important markets has declined in the recent period, due to the decrease in the amount of Egyptian exports of oranges in these markets, due to the high export prices of oranges respect to the competitors, the increase in export prices due to the increase in both production and marketing costs of Egyptian orange and the increase in farm prices significantly. The share has decreased significantly during 2017. It is noticed that there is a competitive price advantage for Egypt in the Saudi and UAE markets during most of the study years, and in the general average, due to the proximity of Arab markets to Egypt, which leads to reduced transportation costs, and also the presence of agreements and treaties between Egypt and the Gulf Cooperation Council countries, which works to remove obstacles to Egyptian exports Whether customs barriers or taxes and fees, it must be pointed out that Egypt lost its competitive price advantage during 2017 for most competitors in these markets due to the high prices of Egyptian orange exports. It is noted for the Russian market that Egyptian oranges face fierce competition in relation to export prices of competing countries to Egypt, given the high costs of transportation for Egyptian oranges relative to competitors. In light of the high production and marketing costs of the Egyptian orange, this leads to raising its export prices against competitors. The logistical statistical estimate of the logarithmic model of determinants of external demand for Egyptian oranges in the Russian market during the period (2006-2017) showed that the biggest factors influencing external demand are world export prices, then domestic production of oranges with a positive signal, and flexibility reached 3.67 and 1.85, respectively. As the increase of about 10% of these factors leads to an increase in the amount of exports by about 36.7% and 18.5%, respectively. In the Saudi market, the biggest factor affecting external demand is the Saudi population, with a positive signal, and elasticity of 3. 72. As the increase of about 10% of this factor leads to an increase in the amount of exports by about 37. 2%. In the UAE market, the most influencing factors on external demand are the population, then the country’s total imports of oranges with a positive signal, and flexibility reached about 3. 98, 0. 5, respectively. As an increase of about 10% of these factors leads to an increase in the amount of exports by about 39. 8% ,0. 5%, respectively.
   
     
 
       

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